Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, stated at a forum with the U.S. Foreign Relations Committee that he believes AI will handle 90% of programming tasks within the next 3 to 6 months. Amodei's prediction that AI could potentially write almost all code within 12 months has garnered significant attention.
Mike Froman, chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee, asked Amodei about his vision for AI's best-case scenario. Amodei responded that programming is one of the fastest-advancing areas for AI, and he anticipates AI handling the majority of programming tasks in the near future. While acknowledging this might sound concerning, he emphasized that programmers will still be crucial for defining desired functionality, application design, and decision-making.
Amodei suggested that while human programmer involvement will remain necessary, AI will gradually take on many human tasks. He encouraged a reevaluation of the concepts of "useful" and "useless," arguing that human life will remain meaningful, with AI adding new possibilities.
Froman also asked Amodei if "DeepSeek" could be considered a "Sputnik moment." Amodei downplayed this, characterizing DeepSeek as simply another example of decreasing data costs. He stressed that a future where everyone can program is rapidly approaching.
Separately, Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, shared his perspective on the future of programming in a podcast. He believes programming methods will significantly change within the next five to ten years, with many already using natural language for programming, gradually phasing out traditional coding methods. Altman jokingly remarked that few people currently program by writing code, implying that the definition of programming and required skills will drastically change.
With the rapid advancement of AI technology, the future of programming is poised for an unprecedented transformation.
Key Takeaways:
🌐 Amodei predicts AI will complete 90% of programming tasks within the next 3-6 months.
💡 Human programmers will still be involved in design and decision-making; AI will handle repetitive tasks.
📈 Future programming will shift towards natural language, altering programming methods and skill requirements.
